CURRENT COMMENTARIES : Saumitra Chaudhuri, Economic Advisor & Research Coordinator

   The sordid magic of levitating commodity prices
(May 23 2008)
   Is there a special hell for economists purveying bad policy?
(May 11 2008)
   The Federal Reserve fumbles, as Old Europe gets it right
(May 8 2008)
   The name of the game in 2008 is inflation, or rather its management
(Apr 25 2008)
   In the middle of a turbulent river crossing
(Mar 21 2008)
   Ahead, the road’s getting rougher for the Juggernaut
(Mar 14 2008)
   Recession is still iffy but Inflation looks certain
(Feb 22 2008)
   Taking Stock of the Indian Economy
(Feb 14 2008)
   A roller-coaster of a month: With more bumpy rides ahead
(Jan 25 2008)
   Bush Mess Endangers the Economy and Much Else
(Jan 25 2008)
   Stop talking the American Economy into Recession
(Jan 18 2008)
   The outlook for 2008 is difficult, but not depressing
(Dec 27 2007)
   Peering at 2008 – through the Fog of Sub-Prime Woes
(Dec 20 2007)
   Do Indians like their facts so heavily garnished that the reality is lost?
(Nov 27 2007)
   Living in times of enhanced uncertainty
(Nov 23 2007)
   Financial Markets in the Wake of the Sub-Prime Crisis
(Oct 29 2007)
   The churning and the heaving in the world’s capital markets
(Aug 24 2007)
   Managing Inflation in Incredible India
(July 20 2007)
   Indian Economic Growth – It’s Sustainability or Otherwise
(June 29 2007)
   The Enigma Wrapped in a Mystery – Favourable and Unfavourable Comparisons
(May 25 2007)
   Some suggestions for managing growth and inflation in 2007/08
(Apr 16 2007)
   Setting the framework for the next fiscal year – 2007/08
(Apr 2 2007)
   The nervous ripple roiling markets and what it might mean for us
(Mar 19 2007)
   It is indeed possible to maintain growth and hold the price line
(Mar 6 2007)
   Not a cakewalk, but a tight-rope:Balancing high growth with low inflation & equity
(Mar 1 2007)
   The word-wide economic boom encompasses sub-Saharan Africa
(Feb 19 2007)
   More on the business of containing inflation
(Feb 5 2007)
   Our constraint is infrastructure and it is not about funds
(Jan 8 2007)
   Policy implications of improved outlook for crude petroleum prices
(Dec 25 2006)
   What manner of a boom is this? The answer could hold some guidance
(Dec 11 2006)
   As inflation hardens its edges, making monetary policy gets tougher
(Nov 27 2006)
   To keep industrial growth going the only obstacle is our disability to execute decisions
(Nov 13 2006)
   Is the world economy slowing? If so, not by much it seems …
(Oct 29 2006)
   The hard task of accommodating growth while maintaining stable monetary conditions
(Oct 16 2006)
   Revisiting Oil Prices, Inflation and Growth
(Sept 18 2006)
   How is it that the world continues to grow despite high oil prices and the threat of inflation?
(Sept 4 2006)
   How global demand has adjusted to soaring oil prices, and some of its merits
(Aug 21 2006)
   Interest rates, credit off-take and economic growth
(Aug 7 2006)
   A few quieter years and what that might bring…
(July 24 2006)
   Inflation – its strange anatomy and the lessons that it holds
(July 10 2006)
   The difficult art of balance – between containing inflation and supporting growth
(June 26 2006)
   Walking on eggs in a fog of considerable uncertainty
(June 12 2006)
   The recent slide in equity prices – mostly global and some local factors
(May 29 2006)
   The coordinated slide in the US dollar – a campaign with unsettling consequences
(May 15 2006)
   Deconstructing the policy prescription for fixing the world’s unhealthiest appetite
(May 1 2006)
   A Pipeline to wrap around my neck
(Mar 20 2006)
   Sticking to the straight and narrow
(Mar 1 2006)
   Providing the fuel to accelerate growth-The increase in Savings and Investment Rates to the 30%-range does just that
(Feb 20 2006)
   As the interest rate journey tops the crest- Opportunity abounds in the flat stretch that lies ahead
(Jan 23 2006)
   On the first anniversary of the end of MFA - Find how our exports have been constrained by inadequate capacity, while that of China has not
(Jan 9 2006)
   A Good Year with Expectations Reinforced and Pleasant Surprises-Thus creating conditions for considerable consolidation in the New Year
(Dec 26 2005)
   Intertwined strands of strength-Several successful initiatives in reform make for the strength of the economy today
(Nov 28 2005)
   The Triumph of India’s Market Reforms: The Record of the 1980s and 1990s
(Nov 3 2005)
   Understanding the Burgeoning Current Account Deficit-The Devil, as usual, is in the details
(Oct 31 2005)
   What drives the exuberance in the equity markets? - Making up for lost time, a strong big boost to corporate earnings and stability in financial markets
(Oct 3 2005)
   The pain of acute indigestion – petroleum prices and policy : The difficulty of learning to let go: flexibility is the counterpart to commonsense
(Sept 5 2005)
   On exuberance and sobriety : Equity prices are a complex function of domestic and global market sentiment and asset fundamentals
(Aug 8 2005)
   An otherwise benign summer…
(July 11 2005)
   Have rates peaked out? : There are signs that the current phase of monetary tightening may be coming to an unexpectedly early end
(June 27 2005)
   The yuan inches up : How far will it go is conjecture – but we do live in interesting times and it’s a blessing
(May 25 2005)
   Sparks begin to fly in the main show of 2005 : While China digs in to defend perceived rights of sovereignty in currency rates
(May 20 2005)
   Government Big, Small and Tax Exemptions : An old debate not ever stated, and with characteristic Indian obfuscation
(May 16 2005)
   The yuan – the big known unknown : Twenty years after the Plaza Accord – how will History repeat itself?
(May 2 2005)
   How and why facts are important : Interpretations of the size of the trade deficit imply different policy approaches
(Apr 18 2005)
   How and why facts are important : Interpretations of the size of the trade deficit imply different policy approaches
(Apr 18 2005)
   Taxing Issues : The Imperative for Efficient and Equitable Taxation
(Apr 4 2005)
   What’s happening to oil prices? : Petroleum prices show no sign of softening to levels that could obviate domestic price increases
(Mar 7 2005)
   Manufacturing’s Real Prize : We need world class manufacturing capacity to service the large future home market
(Feb 21 2005)
   The Munitions for Growth : We have the savings, investment is up, as is growth – time for more realism
(Feb 5 2005)
   With a focus on accelerating growth : Dealing with the many opportunities and challenges that face the economy
(Jan 10 2005)
   Indian textiles in the post-MFA era – how will it fare?
(Dec 29 2004)
   Ushering in the New Year
(Dec 26 2004)
   Growth, jobs, productivity : Making the best of our greatest resource – Indians in the millions
(Dec 13 2004)
   A Good Year Ends : Making good in the New Year and in the new world
(Dec 13 2004)
   A Positive Investment Climate : Making the best of the good economic conditions that exist at present, is in our very own hands
(Nov 29 2004)
   Remittances from Overseas : Domestic macro-economics must further adjust to encourage import of physical resources for growth
(Nov 1 2004)
   Unexpected outcomes : The rising phase of the interest rate cycle is generating enormous credit off-take from the banking system
(Nov 1 2004)
   Sick PSUs should be shut down
(Oct 27 2004)
   Estimating the Financial Resources for Investment and Growth
(Oct 25 2004)
   Oil prices – a six month perspective : Very expensive oil makes the woes of managing inflation ever more difficult
(Oct 18 2004)
   In anticipation of the official mid-year review
(Oct 8 2004)
   The Oil Slick on the Road : Crude oil prices soar as the supply cushion is consumed by rising demand
(Oct 4 2004)
   Xenophobia – the fright behind the bluster
(Sept 15 2004)
   Inflation – the hot button policy issue for the moment
(Aug 16 2004)
   Assessing the Inflation Outlook:In the context of global trends of rising energy price and slower output expansion
(July 19 2004)
   Learning to do things differently needs bold experimentation and absence of trepidation
(July 12 2004)
   Union Budget 2003-04: Much thought and passion in the Budget Speech – making pennies count
(July 8 2004)
   Economic Survey 2003-04:A cryptic message baked in a CMP oven
(July 8 2004)
   Budget2004 guessing game as market virtue:In the final run-up, something on the merits of expediency over theory and the dividend tax
(July 5 2004)
   Reinventing the Planning Commission
(July 2 2004)
   The perceived El Dorado of taxes on services, as such things tend to be, is a mirage
(June 28 2004)
   Union Budget 2004: Finding resources for investment, growth and social development
(June 21 2004)
   Investment, growth and tight resources
(June 14 2004)
   Some unpleasant arithmetic:Financing the CMP mission objectives in Budget 2004 is a tough job, to put it mildly
(June 7 2004)
   Facilitating employment outside agriculture and in urban areas is at the very heart of economic growth
(May 3 2004)
   Interest rate outlook world-wide hardens as inflation starts picks up and currencies swivel
(Apr 26 2004)
   Inflation is the big challenge in 2004-05
(Apr 19 2004)
   Growing the Indian economy faster, as fast it can
(Apr 12 2004)
   As a good fiscal year closes, the challenges of the new are many
(Apr 5 2004)
   Both exports and imports surprise, while the rupee rises
(Mar 26 2004)
   “India Shining”, the new project of modern India – neutralising sectarian and entitlement politics
(Mar 19 2004)
   The Uneasy Tides of March 2004
(Mar 12 2004)
   The roller coaster currency-ride, of clever men and prudence
(Mar 4 2004)
   The Shine on the Rupee
(Mar 1 2004)
   Will the Elephant take wing, as did the Dragon?
(Feb 23 2004)
   The Elephant in the Room-Hypocrisy gets in the way of facing our biggest problem
(Feb 16 2004)
   Of Feeling Good and Hangovers
(Feb 9 2004)
   The Vexed Issue of Petroleum Subsidies
(Feb 5 2004)
   Expenditure control in an election year augurs well for fiscal consolidation
(Feb 4 2004)
   In the shining Indian night sky – stars, slow-moving planets, and black holes
(Feb 2 2004)
   What is fuelling rising inflation and expectations for 2004
(Jan 26 2004)
   Fiscal Implications of the Mini Budget 2004
(Jan 20 2004)
   A sea change in the politics of the economy?
(Jan 19 2004)
   As the new financial year begins
(Jan 19 2004)
   The Good Economics of Mini-Budget 2004 Outweigh the politics of it
(Jan 12 2004)
   On interest rates and the demand for credit
(Dec 8 2003)
   More on the Two Giants of Asia
(Dec 1 2003)
   More on the Two Giants of Asia
(Dec 1 2003)
   The Tale of Two Giants – China and India
(Nov 24 2003)
   The Tale of Two Giants – China and India
(Nov 24 2003)
   Innovation in interest rate differentials
(Nov 14 2003)
   The Queer Anatomy of Inflation
(Nov 10 2003)
   Challenges facing today’s Credit Policy
(Nov 4 2003)
   Long term institutional issues to the fore
(Nov 3 2003)
   The highs and the lows this Diwali
(Oct 27 2003)
   Poor information makes for bad policy
(Oct 20 2003)
   Sliding gilt yields and the outlook
(Oct 13 2003)
   Half way into the fiscal year
(Sept 29 2003)
   A Golden Sheen on Our Imports
(Sept 22 2003)
   Good news on the industrial front
(Sept 15 2003)
   On the decline in official grain stocks
(Sept 8 2003)
   Making a mystery of industrial growth
(Aug 25 2003)
   Managing net decline in our institutions
(Aug 18 2003)
   An embarrassment of riches
(Aug 11 2003)
   The reality of “real” interest rates
(Aug 4 2003)
   Consumer demand drives industrial growth
(July 28 2003)
   Growth prospects remain modest
(July 14 2003)
   Divestments, the only initiative
(July 7 2003)
   Rate cut and other thoughts
(June 30 2003)
   Changes in US Trade and Capital Flows
(June 16 2003)
   The Luxury of Soft Rates
(June 9 2003)
   The interminable wait for the rebound
(June 2 2003)
   Some rice for thought
(May 26 2003)
   Exchange Rate Complexity
(May 19 2003)
   Prospects for South West Monsoon 2003?
(May 12 2003)
   Credit policy, inflation and exchange rates
(May 5 2003)
   Inflation and Macro-management
(Apr 28 2003)
   What fuels the fires of Inflation?
(Apr 21 2003)
   What price Government debt?
(Apr 14 2003)
   Management weakness has undercut the Fisc
(Mar 31 2003)
   Signal improvements on the tax front
(Mar 24 2003)
   The war in Iraq and its aftermath
(Mar 24 2003)
   Persistently weak fiscal management
(Mar 17 2003)
   Will Interest rates drop further?
(Mar 12 2003)
   Inflationary pressures gain strength
(Mar 10 2003)
   After the Sound and Fury
(Mar 4 2003)
   Will Budget 2003-2004 bolster growth?
(Mar 4 2003)
   Union Budget 2003-2004
(Mar 1 2003)
   Finding resources for growth
(Feb 25 2003)
   The Economic Survey 2002-2003
(Feb 25 2003)
   As the Alliance without a raison d’ętre cracks
(Feb 18 2003)
   Fiscal Stress and Rating Views
(Feb 11 2003)
   Numbers for Constructing Budget 2003-04
(Feb 3 2003)
   On The Vexatious Dividend Tax
(Jan 21 2003)
   November’s dismal industrial output growth
(Jan 13 2003)
   January, Iraq and Oil
(Jan 6 2003)